{"id":2501,"date":"2026-01-11T12:09:44","date_gmt":"2026-01-11T11:09:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/droitemoderniste.be\/?page_id=2501"},"modified":"2026-01-11T12:09:44","modified_gmt":"2026-01-11T11:09:44","slug":"retour-sur-investissement-public","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/droitemoderniste.be\/index.php\/programme\/priorites\/reindustrialisation\/retour-sur-investissement-public\/","title":{"rendered":"Retour sur investissement public"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"168\" src=\"https:\/\/droitemoderniste.be\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/reindustrieW3.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2502\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\">R\u00e9industrialisation <mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#ff6900\" class=\"has-inline-color\">MDM<\/mark><\/h6>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1. Hypoth\u00e8se d\u2019investissement public<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Effort public r\u00e9aliste (5 ans)<\/h6>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Fonds souverain industriel<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Incitants fiscaux conditionn\u00e9s<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Infrastructures industrielles &amp; formation<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Effort public total<\/strong> :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u2248 2 \u00e0 2,5 % du PIB sur 5 ans<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Soit :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>PIB \u2248 600 Md\u20ac<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u2248 12 \u00e0 15 Md\u20ac au total<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u2248 2,5 \u00e0 3 Md\u20ac \/ an<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ordre de grandeur comparable aux plans industriels europ\u00e9ens r\u00e9cents.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2. Retours financiers directs pour les pouvoirs publics<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\">A. Recettes fiscales et sociales nouvelles (\u00e0 5 ans)<\/h6>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sc\u00e9nario central d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00e9tabli :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>+9 \u00e0 +11 Md\u20ac \/ an<\/strong> de recettes publiques<ul><li>dont <strong>+7 \u00e0 +8 Md\u20ac<\/strong> pour la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 sociale<\/li><\/ul>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>+2 \u00e0 +3 Md\u20ac<\/strong> pour l\u2019\u00c9tat et les r\u00e9gions<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\">B. D\u00e9penses \u00e9vit\u00e9es (ch\u00f4mage, aides, pr\u00e9pensions)<\/h6>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Estimation prudente :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>+1,5 \u00e0 +2,5 Md\u20ac \/ an<\/strong> d\u2019\u00e9conomies<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Retour annuel total \u00e0 partir de l\u2019ann\u00e9e 5<\/h6>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u2248 10,5 \u00e0 13,5 Md\u20ac par an<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">3. Calcul du ROI public<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Hypoth\u00e8se centrale<\/h6>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Investissement public total (5 ans)<\/strong> : 15 Md\u20ac<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Retour annuel structurel<\/strong> : 12 Md\u20ac<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>ROI<\/strong> :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>1 \u20ac investi \u2192 ~0,8 \u20ac r\u00e9cup\u00e9r\u00e9 chaque ann\u00e9e<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Donc :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Retour int\u00e9gral en ~15\u201318 mois<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Puis <strong>b\u00e9n\u00e9fice net permanent<\/strong> pour les finances publiques<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">4. ROI cumul\u00e9 \u00e0 10 ans (lecture politique)<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sur 10 ans :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Retours cumul\u00e9s \u2248 <strong>90 \u00e0 120 Md\u20ac<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Investissement initial \u2248 <strong>15 Md\u20ac<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>ROI cumul\u00e9<\/strong> :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>1 \u20ac investi \u2192 6 \u00e0 8 \u20ac r\u00e9cup\u00e9r\u00e9s en 10 ans<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">5. Sc\u00e9narios de communication<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Version prudente (tr\u00e8s cr\u00e9dible)<\/h6>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>1 \u20ac public investi rapporte 5 \u20ac en dix ans.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Version centrale (recommand\u00e9e)<\/h6>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>1 \u20ac investi aujourd\u2019hui rapporte 6 \u00e0 8 \u20ac \u00e0 la collectivit\u00e9.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Version offensive (d\u00e9bat)<\/h6>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>La r\u00e9industrialisation est l\u2019investissement public le plus rentable qui soit.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi ce ROI est cr\u00e9dible<\/h6>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u2714Bas\u00e9 sur recettes r\u00e9currentes (pas one-shot)<br>\u2714Compatible avec automatisation industrielle<br>\u2714Comparable aux retours observ\u00e9s dans :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>infrastructures<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u00e9nergie<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>innovation industrielle<br>\u2714Int\u00e8gre d\u00e9penses \u00e9vit\u00e9es (souvent oubli\u00e9es)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Message politique<\/h6>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u00ab Contrairement aux d\u00e9penses passives, la r\u00e9industrialisation se rembourse toute seule : chaque euro investi en rapporte plusieurs \u00e0 la collectivit\u00e9. \u00bb<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>R\u00e9industrialisation MDM 1. Hypoth\u00e8se d\u2019investissement public Effort public r\u00e9aliste (5 ans) Effort public total : \u2248 2 \u00e0 2,5 % du PIB sur 5 ans Soit : Ordre de grandeur comparable aux plans industriels europ\u00e9ens r\u00e9cents. 2. Retours financiers directs pour les pouvoirs publics A. Recettes fiscales et sociales nouvelles (\u00e0 5 ans) Sc\u00e9nario central [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":2485,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-2501","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/droitemoderniste.be\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/2501","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/droitemoderniste.be\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/droitemoderniste.be\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/droitemoderniste.be\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/droitemoderniste.be\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2501"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/droitemoderniste.be\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/2501\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2503,"href":"https:\/\/droitemoderniste.be\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/2501\/revisions\/2503"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/droitemoderniste.be\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/2485"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/droitemoderniste.be\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2501"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}